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Same-sex marriage (SSM) in the U.S.

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Predictions by various groups and
individuals about the future of
same-sex marriage (SSM) in the U.S.

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LGBT symbol 2014-JUN: Current status:

In predominately English speaking countries. As of mid-2014-JUN:

  • Same-sex marriage has become available throughout Canada, England, New Zealand, Scotland and Wales.

  • It is heavily favored by the public of Australia. However the present Prime Minister refuses to hold a free vote on enabling legislation.

  • It is being extensively discussed in Ireland and Northern Ireland.

  • It is available in the District of Columbia and 19 states in the U.S. A total of eight federal District Courts and state courts have issued rulings legalizing SSMs, however, their decisions have been stayed pending appeals.

There is a growing belief among American adults that legal recognition of same-sex marriage across the entire country is "inevitable." In early 2013-MAY, a national poll by Pew Research Center for the People and the Press found that 72% of American adults expect this to happen. 1 Among those who support SSM, 85% believe it is inevitable; among those opposed, the value is 59% -- still a health majority. As future developments occurr, these values will probably increase.

Less than two months after the Pew Research poll, on 2013-JUN-26, the U.S. Supreme Court issued rulings in two very important cases:

  • Wilson v. United States declared a major part of the federal Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) to be unconstitutional. It resulted in 1,138 government marriage benefits and protections which were previously restricted to opposite-sex couples being also made available to married same-sex couples whose marriages are recognized where they live.

  • Hollingsworth v. Perry had the effect of legalizing same-sex marriage in California again.

There is a lot of speculation about how, when, and in what order additional states will legalize SSM, perhaps leading to a decision by the U.S. Suprem Court that makes same-sex marriage (SSM) available to all loving, commited same-sex couples in the country.

We expect that in the near future, marriages will be available in additional states, mostly due to court decisions in state and federal courts.

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Topics covered in this section:

  • Part 1: Overview. Predictions by Ned Flaherty of Marriage Equality, USA

  • Part 2: Predictions by Supreme Court Justices Kennedy & Scalia

  • Part 3: Predictions by Linda Feldman of the Christian Science Monitor

  • Part 4: Predictions by Future Timeline.net, the New York Times, and The Hill

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Reference used:

The following information source was used to prepare and update the above essay. The hyperlink is not necessarily still active today.

  1. "Poll: Gay Marriage Viewed As 'Inevitable' By Most Americans," Huffington Post, 2013-JUN-06, at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/

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Site navigation:

Home page > "Hot" topics > Homosexuality > Couples > SSM > here

Home page > Homosexuality > SSM > SSM menu > here

Home page >>SSM > SSM menu > here

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Originally written: 2013-JUL-15
Latest update: 2014-JUN-18
Author: B.A. Robinson

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